Risk, Insurance & ProbabilityLotteries

The Lottery Is Worth a Shot

A Powerball ticket loses money on average

It's only $2, and somebody has to win. So why does every Powerball ticket lose money on average?

You'll find out

  • Your real odds of the jackpot
  • What a lifetime of tickets returns
  • Where the rest of the money goes

Why it matters

In fiscal 2024, state lotteries sold $104.7 billion of tickets. The math shows what each $2 really buys.

About 3 min6 interactive slides · 5 questionsLesson 77 · Zone 9

Play this lesson

Free to play in your browser or on iPhone

More in this zone

  1. 73RiskRisk and Reward Travel TogetherHigher possible gains come with bigger possible losses
  2. 74InsuranceInsurance: Sharing Bad LuckMany people pay a little so a few aren't ruined
  3. 75ProbabilityWhy the House Always WinsRoulette's green zeros pay the casino
  4. 76ProbabilityExpected ValueWhat a bet is worth on average
  5. 78Loss AversionLosses Hurt Twice as MuchLosing $100 stings more than winning $100 feels good
  6. 79InsurancePremiums and DeductiblesWhat you pay every month and what you pay when it happens
  7. 80Expected ValueIs the Warranty Worth It?Price the extended warranty with real odds
  8. 81UncertaintyThe Farmer's Lost HorseIn an old Chinese parable, each piece of bad luck turns out good, and each piece of good luck turns out bad